Tuesday, July 3, 2012

Mexico's election: The good news

And now for the good new (from the Mexican political left's point of view, that is)

* PRI will not have a majority in the Chamber of Deputies, as many believed.
* PRI will not have a majority in the Senate, as many believed.

Instead, PRD will be the second force in the former, and have a sizable contingent in the second.

* Tabasco will change government hands for the first time in its history: PRD's Arturo Núñez won the governorship.

* Morelos was won by the left for the first time in Mexico's history, with Graco Ramírez. The state is as far as I can recall now the second to have been run by all three parties (the other is Tlaxcala)

* EPN's victory was far from impressive - barely 6% ahead of AMLO, who ran a terrific campaign - in 2009 he campaigned and identified for PT and MC, who won only 5-6% of the vote together. He truly did a remarkable recovery.

* PRD won more than 60 percent in DF - in a four-way race! This is far higher than Cárdenas in 1997, AMLO in 2000, and Ebrard in 2006. The left has clearly shown it can govern a highly complicated and major entity - and do so extremely well.

* The left will be back to being the second largest force in the Chamber of Deputies

* The results are a damning indictment of the political right in Mexico: It lost Jalisco after 18 terrible years of government, barely hung on to Guanajuato, and will be the third force in the Chamber. It was almost completely wiped out in Mexico City, where it lost at least one bastion and may even lose the remaining three.

Calderón will go down in history as the man who returned Los Pinos to PRI - it's a hefty verdict on his mediocre presidency, which saw millions more in poverty. And lest we forget, he was actively helped by the bumbling idiot who happened to end PRI's 71-year reign in the first place, Vicente Fox.

What stinging blows to the party and to the political right.

1 comment:

  1. The ongoing controversy of the presidential race aside, I think this election should be a resounding wake-up call for true Panistas and make them reconsider Foxismo and Calderonismo (as well as the still-born "Mota-ismo" :D ) and perhaps look towards the legacies of Gomez Morin and Clouthier as beacons in reviving the party and getting far far away from the increasingly cynical party it has started to become in recent years.

    I have difficulty in believing Calderon is genuinely upset at giving the keys of Los Pinos back to the PRI come December - and I have a feeling his "voto libre y secreto" was not for Josefina Vazquez Mota.