PAN could lose bastion Guanajuato

It is still unlikely, but increasingly less so: PRI is getting within reach of beating PAN in its bastion of Guanajuato, run by the most socially regressive sectors of the party particularly linked to the secret catholic society El Yunque.

PRI candidate Juan Ignacio Torres reportedly pulls 42.2 percent against PAN Miguel Márquez' 50.3. The left has only a marginal presence in the ultra-conservative state, and is in addition running three candidates.

Source:

Guanajuato: aceptan ventaja de panista. El Universal, May 30, 2012.

Reforma shock poll: AMLO only 7 points behind

With apologies for the "shock" usage here, but I don't really know what else to call this:

Reforma newspaper, a center-right leaning newspaper with a remarkably well developed polling team, has AMLO at 34, against 38 of Enrique Peña Nieto. 

Only four points away! The poll reflects a growth of 7 percent for AMLO from the last Reforma poll, taken April 19-22. The most recent poll was taken May 24-27. Other polls on the ADN "poll of polls" also show AMLO rising and EPN diving. 

Source:

Encuesta Reforma: López Obrador a 4 puntos de Peña. ADN Polìtico, May 31, 2012.