Thursday, July 29, 2010

On Seguro Popular

Not too much of a news story per se - Salomón Chertorivski, head of CNPSS, dismisses former director of Social Security Santiago Levy's claim that Seguro Popular promotes the informal economy - but it is worth noting that  Seguro Social, a program to offer healthcare for the many Mexicans outside of the formal economy, has now reached 36 million, and may reach more than 50 by early 2011.


A bit of background in a recent article in Americas Quarterly:
In the early 1990s, a calculation of national health accounts by the Fundación Mexicana para la Salud revealed that more than half of total Mexican health care expenditure was individual, out-of-pocket payments. Families and individuals were paying from their own incomes or savings for health care procedures, including emergency care. In other words, half of the population lacked health insurance.
The realization that households—the poor, in particular—had been paying catastrophic, out-of-pocket sums changed public perceptions and provoked public discussion of the need to expand public health coverage. Policymakers suddenly began to look at how financial issues affected the provision of health care and levels of poverty among Mexican households. 
It has also paid electoral dividends. According to a recent scholarly treatise of the 2006 campaign, by Alberto Diaz-Cayeros et al,  the effects, and as such popularity, of Seguro Popular was one of the major factors why many poor voters went for PAN rather than the PRD in that year's presidential election. 


First launched by President Vicente Fox, Seguro Popular may thus remain as one of the major social achievements of the two PAN administrations. 

Ebrard-AMLO game of chess continues

Mexico City Mayor Marcelo Ebrard, in reiterating the agreement with AMLO (and other potential candidates) that the left's candidate will be decided based on whoever is ahead of the polls, now declared that the poll should not just be open to members of the parties in question (PRD, PT, Convergencia), but to any citizen. Here, AMLO's "Legitimate Government" and its affiliated masses, most of whom appear not to belong to any party, would appear to give AMLO an advantage, but now clearly Ebrard also thinks he might be able to mobilize non-party supporters behind his candidacy. 
What will be AMLO´s next move?