Wednesday, June 22, 2011

A devastating analysis of "analyst" Sylvia Longmire

I've earlier bumped into some writing by Sylvia Longmire, which I had a gut-level reaction of dislike to, given the alarmist hyperbole from someone who shows no indication of actually having set her foot in Mexico or the U.S. border, two areas she writes about.

Now Tom Barry of Center for International Policy has an absolutely devastating review of Longmire, which I strongly recommend as a warning against the so-called "intelligence experts" popping up to inform or rather misinform the public (in contrast to Barry's excellent blog, http://borderlinesblog.blogspot.com/, which is among the most informative on the subject).

Read the column here.

AMLO on new Morena tour. What will IFE do?

And AMLO will launch a new tour for Morena, where he said will promote his presidential proyect.


Given that this clearly breaks Mexican electoral law, what will the Mexican electoral institute (IFE) do? 
Or perhaps the question should rather be: When IFE deems AMLO to engage in campaigning outside of the allowed time frame for elections, how will AMLO respond? "They are all against us!"? This has the potential to blow up pretty soon. 

The end of the Convergencia party? Good riddance

The Convergencia party appears set to dissolve to become AMLO's own party, including changing its name to Morena, the name of AMLO's movement. Some party members oppose this plan.

Why good riddance? Because this is a party that, while now appearing as a radical pro-AMLO party, started out, and very much remains, the personal outfit of Senator Dante Delgado Rannauro, once an interim PRI governor from Vera Cruz, who ditched PRI to create Convergencia in 1998. The party ever since sold itself to the highest bidder, and it took major concessions from the left (PRD) for Convergencia to accept being its partner in 2006. After this election, when it was in danger, with the Partido del Trabajo, of losing its registry because of its low turnout, it jumped on AMLO's bandwagon, becoming one of the most "radical" parties in Mexico - a complete turnaround.  Before and after, it has on state elections at times joined with the left, other times with its electoral opponents - wherever it could reap some direct benefits. Most recent example: Now Víctor Hugo Círigo, a national Convergencia deputy, has joined the PRI campaign of Eruviel Ávila in Mexico State.

New, serious political parties, with a clear agenda and mission, are always welcome, but Convergencia never belonged to that category, rather merely contributing to fragmentation of the vote in Mexico.

So good riddance, Convergencia.