Sunday, April 24, 2011

Stratfor: Mexican legislators are not amused

Texas-based Stratfor - those of the stratospherically priced intelligence analyses, which unfortunately at times decidedly cross the line of the sublime to the utterly ridiculous - published online its most recent "Mexican Drug War Update."

Not quite willing to dole out the required dough for this quarterly report, I have yet to read it, but from secondary sources it appears to suggest that Mexican President Felipe Calderón is going soft on the Sinaloa cartel and El Chapo in order for them to liquidate their comparatively more vicious competitors.

Yet Calderón's defenders have marched to the barricades, and they are not who you might think: According to La Jornada, PRD and PT legislators essentially dismiss the idea that the government is engaging in "pacting" of any kind with the narcos; rather, the difficulties of getting to Chapo is rather a reflection of not only the cartel's superior organization and intelligence, but crucially also the significant social support Chapo allegedly has built up.

Felipe González, PAN senator, moreover claims that Stratfor has erred in the past, such as its claim that most of the weapons showing up with the drug gangs in Mexico come from Central America and not from the United States - an assessment, to be sure, very few analysts share.

Gonzáles also dryly adds that Strafor as well "charges a lot."


Ouch. 

If you love Mexico, you can't vote for PAN?

"No one who loves Mexico can ally with or vote for the party of war, PAN."

This rather stunning slogan comes from AMLO's Movimiento de Regeneración Nacional (Morena), in a sharp attack on Calderón and PAN. All gloves have apparently come off, and there seem to remain no holds barred in AMLO's campaign for 2012, well under way: The most recent video, featured on the home page of AMLO's movement, makes the further claim that Calderón launched the military offensive against the drug gangs in order to legitimize his government, following the contested 2006 election, but also to to "the dirty work" for United States.

I am hard pressed to imagine how one can get any dirtier than this, which is moreover sadly ironic given that one of AMLO's main arguments in 2006 was the very dirty campaign from PAN: The pupil has now seemingly overcome the master.

In essence: If you vote for my opponent (or ally with them), you don't love your country.
How to top this?