Mexico City polls: PRD has stopped fall, growing

The glass is half full or half empty: One the one hand, the PRD's vote intention in its Mexico City bastion is 25 percent, down from 36 percent in 2007. On the other hand, according to this El Universal poll, the party appears to have stopped its decline and is actually on the rise. The PRI, notably, follows with 20 percent, while PAN is down to 12. Given that no official candidate for Mexico City mayor has been chosen by any party, this is of course very preliminary and says little of support for actual candidates.

Given that she was PRI president, Beatriz Paredes Rangel has the highest recognition - 92 percent respond that they have heard of here - but I rather see Senator María de los Ángeles Moreno as the PRI's eventual candidate:  The arch-salinista has done a lot of groundwork for her campaign in Mexico City as head of the Federal District Commission in the Senate, while Paredes has been busy with the national PRI.

For more on potential candidates, see the full graphic here