Thursday, March 3, 2011

Mexico State poll figures: Plenty of ammunition for AMLO's opponents

Some interesting figures from today's El Universal:

* 51 percent of the population rejects a PAN-PRD alliance, while a whopping 70 percent of PRD members and 61 percent of PAN members favor an alliance. Any wonder why AMLO fears actually asking the people, in the scheduled poll, whether such an alliance should proceed?

* Any PRI option is favored over any candidate not backed by both PAN and PRD

* But 42 percent of the polled say they could vote for a PAN-PRD-PT-Convergencia candidate, which is a higher percentage than that achieved by any PRI candidate

* Forty-three percent declares themselves independent; only 42 percent says they are unlikely to change their choice = Massive uncertainty, three months ahead.

Here is the direct link to a pdf file with range of scenarios and breakdowns.

Also, note that Josefina Vázquez Mota again declared she would not run for Mexico State governor.

She clearly has her eyes set on something bigger.

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